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Trump agrees deal with Putin for Russia to release diesel
Pact between Washington and Moscow comes just weeks before critical midterm elections in the US
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U.S. CFTC moves to fold event contracts into swaps regulations as legal fight rages
The derivatives regulator is proposing a formal rule to include certain contracts traded on platforms like Kalshi’s as swaps that require the agency’s oversight.
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US plans to seize $1B in crypto linked to Iran this week: Scott Bessent
The Treasury Department has announced several digital asset seizures related to sanctions on Iran as part of US sanctions.
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New York permanently bars Celsius founder Mashinsky in $35M fraud settlement
The agreement resolves a 2023 civil fraud lawsuit against the Celsius founder and permanently bars him from the cryptocurrency, securities and commodities industries.
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Americans’ debt problems are flashing a warning not seen since the Great Recession
Researchers found that while wealth disparities narrowed somewhat, the ability to meet debt payments deteriorated significantly.
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Oil and gas production disrupted as Hurricane Isaias barrels towards Gulf
First major Atlantic storm of the season threatens Florida, Alabama, Georgia and Mississippi
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The origin of risk
From the QJE, by Alexandr Kopytov, Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel, and Zebang Xu: We propose a tractable model in which risk, at both the micro and macro levels, is endogenous and driven by incentives. In the model, each firm chooses the mean and the variance of its productivity process, as well as how it covaries with the productivity of other…
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Report: Mistral and others increasingly at risk of open model ‘abliteration’
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Ethiopia update
Ethiopia is the center of the world right now as it has returned to war. Ethiopian forces retook Mekelle from rebel forces, but the fighting has extended beyond Tigray. Eritrean forces allegedly entered Tigray, and Ethiopia responded with drone attacks. The war could go a number of ways. The war extends beyond Ethiopia. Sara Al-Saeed…
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LPs’ red flags
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